Climate outlooks
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NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information published a new article this week on the historical comparisons between the current strong El Niño and previous ones. You can read it at https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/monitoring-references/dyk/elnino-2015-2016. The article displays the difference between each of the historical El Niño years so you can see the year to year variation in where…
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Heavy rain is expected to extend in a band across most of Alabama and northern Georgia for this weekend and Monday. Rain is starting to enter Alabama on Saturday morning, but should hold off for Georgia until after Halloween festivities (unless you party really late!). The rain is expected to be heavy at times and…
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The latest model forecasts for Quantitative Precipitation show a bulls’ eye of rain in Alabama and Georgia lasting from Saturday night until Tuesday. Rain associated with a slowly moving low pressure center will douse the area with up to several inches of rain. So make the most of this weekend–Friday and Saturday should be dry…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The Washington Post‘s Capital Weather Gang noted in a post today that unusually warm weather is expected to occur across most of the eastern US for the next week, including the start to November. This is due to a strong ridge of high pressure that will remain stationary much of the week before collapsing to…
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After a dry weekend, rain is expected to return to the Southeast by Monday evening and showers could last for several days. The rain may be augmented by moisture from Hurricane Patricia, which made landfall on the southwest coast of Mexico last night and is sending plumes of water towards Texas. From there it will…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
After a good couple of weeks of dry conditions, it appears that the large-scale pattern may be shifting back to one of more regular rainfalls. High pressure has dominated the weather here recently, bringing sunny skies and dry conditions to mostly happy farmers. The ones I’ve seen have been busy out in the fields harvesting…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The National Weather Service Southeast River Forecast Center has released their winter water resources outlook on video this week. It is based on a live webinar they held and lasts about 20 minutes. It discusses the effects of the strong El Niño and the outlook for winter and spring. They also discuss the increased chance for river…