Climate outlooks

  • I subscribe to a number of weather blogs across the country, and found a couple of forecasts for the Southeast that do a good job of describing the expected conditions for this winter. Brad Panovich of WCNC in Charlotte provides a graphics-filled outlook that explains the impacts of El Niño on the winter weather patterns…

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  • The latest 5-day QPF map shows that the next five days should be quite dry across most of the Southeast, bringing cheer to water-logged farmers in many parts of the region except southeast Georgia and Florida, where rainfall has been scarce. Early next week, after that respite, the rain is expected to make a comeback…

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  • After a wet week in north Georgia and Alabama, many people are eager to get back to drier conditions.  The rain has been centered on Alabama, Georgia and the Carolinas; by comparison, if you live in the Florida peninsula you have been almost completely dry and might appreciate some moisture.  In Athens GA we are…

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  • The November outlook for climate across the United States is out and shows that the Southeast has a high probability of having above normal temperatures and precipitation for the month as a whole.  You can view these maps along with 3 month outlooks at the Climate Prediction Center website https://www.cpc.noaa.gov/.   

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  • NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information published a new article this week on the historical comparisons between the current strong El Niño and previous ones.  You can read it at https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/monitoring-references/dyk/elnino-2015-2016. The article displays the difference between each of the historical El Niño years so you can see the year to year variation in where…

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  • Heavy rain is expected to extend in a band across most of Alabama and northern Georgia for this weekend and Monday.  Rain is starting to enter Alabama on Saturday morning, but should hold off for Georgia until after Halloween festivities (unless you party really late!).  The rain is expected to be heavy at times and…

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  • The latest model forecasts for Quantitative Precipitation show a bulls’ eye of rain in Alabama and Georgia lasting from Saturday night until Tuesday.  Rain associated with a slowly moving low pressure center will douse the area with up to several inches of rain.  So make the most of this weekend–Friday and Saturday should be dry…

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