Climate outlooks

  • Wetter week ahead

    The latest 7 day QPF map shows that a wetter week is in store for most of the Southeast.  This is welcome news for areas where drought has expanded in recent weeks.  But the longer-term forecast is still for above normal temperatures through the summer, which will increase evaporation and evapotranspiration, putting more stress on…

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  • The latest outlook from the Climate Prediction Center gives a high chance of above-normal temperatures this summer and extending on into next fall and winter.  The summer chances are mainly linked to long-term warming trends in temperature, while next winter’s warm temperatures are tied to the likely development of a La Niña in the next…

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  • The latest QPF map shows that rain across the Southeast will be light this week except along the immediate coasts and in the Florida peninsula.  Wetter conditions should return the week after that.

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  • It’s now midway through June and here’s a look at the climate statistics so far.  The temperature across the region is well above normal, with some areas reaching more than five degrees above the long-term mean.  This continues the trend towards warmer June temperatures that has been occurring since about 1960. Precipitation is generally fairly…

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  • This week’s rainfall should be moderate for most parts of the Southeast.  The best chances for rain are later in the week for most of the region.  The heaviest amounts will be along the Gulf Coast and along the west coast of the Florida peninsula. Temperatures early in the week should be well above average…

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  • As climatologists continue to watch the eastern Pacific Ocean, cool waters there have provided more fuel to the idea that El Niño is all but gone. Here are three more blog posts which discuss the demise of El Niño and what might come next, from opposite ends of the country. The State Climate Office of…

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  • The State Climate Office of North Carolina released their latest outlook for summer for North Carolina this morning.  While it is specific to NC, a lot of the information in it is generally true for the entire Southeast.  You can see it at https://climate.ncsu.edu/climateblog?id=193&h=5666e5c1.

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