Climate outlooks

  • The latest outlook from the Climate Prediction Center gives a high chance of above-normal temperatures this summer and extending on into next fall and winter.  The summer chances are mainly linked to long-term warming trends in temperature, while next winter’s warm temperatures are tied to the likely development of a La Niña in the next…

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  • The latest QPF map shows that rain across the Southeast will be light this week except along the immediate coasts and in the Florida peninsula.  Wetter conditions should return the week after that.

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  • It’s now midway through June and here’s a look at the climate statistics so far.  The temperature across the region is well above normal, with some areas reaching more than five degrees above the long-term mean.  This continues the trend towards warmer June temperatures that has been occurring since about 1960. Precipitation is generally fairly…

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  • This week’s rainfall should be moderate for most parts of the Southeast.  The best chances for rain are later in the week for most of the region.  The heaviest amounts will be along the Gulf Coast and along the west coast of the Florida peninsula. Temperatures early in the week should be well above average…

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  • As climatologists continue to watch the eastern Pacific Ocean, cool waters there have provided more fuel to the idea that El Niño is all but gone. Here are three more blog posts which discuss the demise of El Niño and what might come next, from opposite ends of the country. The State Climate Office of…

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  • The State Climate Office of North Carolina released their latest outlook for summer for North Carolina this morning.  While it is specific to NC, a lot of the information in it is generally true for the entire Southeast.  You can see it at https://climate.ncsu.edu/climateblog?id=193&h=5666e5c1.

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  • The National Hurricane Center noted the official development of Tropical Storm Colin this afternoon at 5:30 EDT.  This is the earliest ever in the season for a third named storm.  Colin is forecast to continue to develop and move off to the northeast over the next few days.  It is expected to land on the Florida…

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