Climate outlooks
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For those of you who have been watching the increasing drought in the Southeast with dismay, this may be the week you were looking for. A change in the pattern has brought a slow-moving low pressure system to the Southeast Gulf coast, and it looks like it will stick around for most of the week.…
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The latest 7-day QPF shows a significant rain event may be brewing along the Gulf Coast and, to a lesser extent, the east coast of Florida, Georgia and the Carolinas. Computer models are suggesting that a low pressure center could sink down into the Gulf and grow under the influence of the unusually warm water…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest 7-day QPF shows that most of the Southeast should receive some much-needed rain this week, although northern Georgia and the east coast of Florida will miss most of it, which could increase dry conditions in those regions. Warmer than normal conditions are expected, especially in southern Alabama and Georgia and into Florida. Also…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest 7 day QPF shows another fairly dry week in store for most of the Southeast. When combined with the high temperatures we have been experiencing, this could lead to further expansions in drought across the region. The rain that falls is likely to be spotty in nature, leaving some areas short while others…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The National Weather Service’s Southeast River Forecast Center Outlook is now available on YouTube. It’s about ten minutes long and covers both short and long-term water conditions, including drought, floods, and tropical storms as well as La Niña. You can watch it at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RKzSZAyOFuw&feature=youtu.be. One of the more interesting things in the outlook was the model…
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The latest 90 day climate outlook was released this week. It shows that above-normal temperatures are likely to continue. Precipitation does not lean one way or the other except along the coast, where above-normal rainfall has the edge. This is most likely due to expected tropical activity in this season with neither an El Niño…
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As a follow-up to the last posting on the heat dome in the central US, Bob Henson of Weather Underground posted this lengthy article about how a heat spell like the one that is coming can trigger the development of a “flash drought”, in this case most likely in the Corn Belt region, although it…