Climate outlooks
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While this week looks mostly dry for most of the Southeast (with the exception of along the Gulf Coast and in Florida), there does appear to be a shift towards more typical November cool and wetter weather by about November 15. You always have to treat the farther-out forecasts with some skepticism, but mid-November is…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
Friends ask me at church and coworkers ask me at work, when is it going to rain? Unfortunately, the answer for today is “probably not this week.” The latest 7-day QPF map shows a very small chance of rain by late next week, but nothing for the next five days as a strong high pressure…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest 7-day QPF map shows that many areas of the Southeast will get little rain this week. While October is typically the driest time of year, the lack of rain this year is leading to worsening drought. I can think of several areas that probably should be designated as worse than what the Drought…
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NOAA’s latest set of climate predictions was released this morning and show that warmer and drier conditions than normal are likely to occur over large parts of the Southeast for the period November through April, particularly in south Alabama and Georgia and in Florida. These predictions are consistent with NOAA’s reissue of a La Niña…
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With October half over, it’s time to see how we are doing so far. The temperature departure map shows that almost all of the Southeast is significantly above normal in temperature. The coolest areas are where rain from Hermine fell last month, but even those areas are near or above normal. The drought-stricken parts of…
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A very hopeful sign for rain appears in the 7 day QPF forecast. While this weekend will probably be dry and that dryness will continue on Monday through Wednesday, Thursday and Friday look like rain will fall over most of the Southeast. The heaviest amounts are predicted to hit the drought-ravaged areas of northwest Georgia…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
Last month, NOAA declared that based on the most recent data, the chance of a La Niña developing was only about 40 percent, and they removed the La Niña watch that they had declared earlier this summer. One month later, and the La Niña watch has returned with a 70% chance of occurring. The change…