Climate outlooks
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The new outlook for December was released by the Climate Prediction Center yesterday. It shows that December has equal chances of being near normal, above or below normal except for southern Florida where there is an edge to above-normal temperatures. The lack of a strong signal is due to the expected cold outbreak that should…
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The latest 7 day QPF map shows that rain will be reentering the Southeast after a long hiatus sometime around mid-week. While the QPF map shows as much as 7 inches in the mountainous regions, I think that is likely an overestimate of actual rainfall amounts. Still, many places in the drought-stricken areas could see…
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The National Weather Service in Peachtree City GA has a new Water Resource Outlook available on YouTube. Unfortunately not a lot of good news on the drought. You can watch and listen to it at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ObuBk70gicA&feature=youtu.be.
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The front passing through the Southeast this morning is dry and is bringing gusty winds to the area, increasing the potential for runaway fires and spreading the smoke from fires north of us back into the area. The next five days should be quite dry, but as we get to the end of next week…
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NOAA released their latest set of outlook maps this week. They continue to go with conditions that are consistent with La Niña for the next few months. In December, drier than normal conditions are expected to continue, while temperatures could be near, above or below normal. For the winter, spring and summer temperatures continue to…
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The State Climate Office of North Carolina has released their third of three blog posts on the likely winter conditions this year. It shows that, as expected, due to La Niña, conditions are likely to be warmer and drier than normal for the state and surrounding areas. Some areas of the state could see increased…
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Is the sun causing the warming we have seen in recent decades? This is a comment I occasionally get from people who are not paying careful attention to how climate works. While solar radiation can affect climate on a variety of time scales (ice ages from distance-related orbital changes in our trip around the sun,…