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One of the biggest surprises to me during this past Atlantic hurricane season was just how good the forecast models were. One of the biggest surprises was the new (to me) Google DeepMind AI model, which did an amazing job of forecasting the path of the storms this year and did well at predicting intensity…
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A blast of very cold air will be entering the Southeast beginning on Sunday and will bring freezing temperatures to a lot of the region. On Monday morning, the freezing temperatures will cover northern Alabama, all of Tennessee, and higher elevations of Georgia, the Carolinas, and Virginia. Temperatures will warm up during the day somewhat,…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The effects of the rain that we experienced last week are finally helping to reduce the severity of drought in the region. The area of extreme drought has been reduced in most areas, although it expanded slightly in the Florida Panhandle, and most other drought-covered areas reduced their severity. Our next round of rain will…
Posted in: Drought -
I was surprised to read on Facebook today that the Farmers’ Almanac is stopping publication after the 2026 Almanac after publishing continuously since 1818. They did not give a reason for stopping as far as I can tell. While scientists generally don’t consider their weather and climate forecasts to be particularly accurate (they have been…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows that a upper level low passing through the region this weekend may generate all the rain we are likely to get for the next seven days. As I write this on Saturday night, an area of light showers is passing through western Alabama and may bring some light rain…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
UGA Pecan Specialist Lenny Wells wrote a blog post earlier this week describing the impacts of this summer and fall’s weather on the current pecan crop. According to his post, “The issues we are facing are the result of three different factors–1) excessive summer rain, leading to scab in some places and conditioning trees to…
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The latest outlook for the November 2025 climate was issued by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center earlier this week. It shows that the prediction for temperature has equal likelihood of near, above, and below normal temperatures. We do expect cooler than usual temperatures for the next week with slowly rising temperatures, then another cool down by…