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The latest seasonal outlook was issued by NOAA last week. It shows that warmer than normal temperatures are likely for both the July and July-September period. Precipitation is expected to be above normal in coastal areas that are likely to be affected by tropical systems in what is likely to be an active season, but…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The heavy rain that fell across southern Florida this past week led to the end of drought conditions across that area, in some cases improving conditions by three categories. The rest of the region received little rain and a lot of heat and there was a significant expansion of abnormally dry (D0) conditions in the…
Posted in: Drought -
The latest 7-day QPF map shows that everywhere in the region is expected to receive some rain, but amounts will be relatively light in the Piedmont regions of GA and the Carolinas. The heaviest rain amounts are expected to be in southern Florida, which already saw a significant change last week with all the rain…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
I am sending this early on Thursday because I will be traveling this weekend and may not have access to the internet later this weekend. The latest tropical update has increased the chances of tropical development in the SW Atlantic to 40% over the next two days. Whether or not it gets named, we are…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
The latest tropical outlook from the National Hurricane Center shows Potential Tropical Cyclone 1 strengthening in the SW Gulf of Mexico. It is expected to continue to strengthen into TS Alberto before it makes landfall on Mexico. It won’t affect us in the Southeast but could bring a lot of rain to southern Texas. There…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
The summer solstice for the Northern Hemisphere this year occurs on June 20, just a couple of days from now. The summer solstice is the date on which the sun appears to be highest in the sky. This means the longest day of the year and then the slow decrease of day length through the…
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The National Hurricane Center is currently watching two areas of concern for tropical development later this week. While neither is a big concern for a hurricane, both have some potential for a tropical storm. The 70% area (in red) in the southern Bay of Campeche has the best chance of development but the circulation around…
Posted in: Tropical weather