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Before the advent of modern weather forecasting using computer models, meteorologists often used analogs to find similar weather in previous years and use that to predict how the weather would change. A modern take on that is to use machine learning with big data to identify patterns in weather that could help predict severe weather…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows that the weather pattern that has brought wet conditions to the northern part of the region while leaving the southern part dry is expected to continue again this week. We can expect to see almost no rain in Florida and in southern parts of AL and GA as well…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest climate summary for the earth as a whole was released today. It shows that for February 2020, this was the second warmest on record after 2016. The temperature departures were especially high over Europe, which reported unusual spring-like weather in many places including Finland and Moscow. For the December through February period (Northern…
Posted in: Climate summaries -
The latest ENSO outlook was released today by NOAA. The outlook says that there is a 55 percent chance that neutral ENSO conditions will last through summer. By late fall there is an almost even chance of neutral or La Nina conditions occurring, with a much smaller chance of an El Nino. You can read…
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The latest Drought Monitor, released this morning, shows that abnormally dry (D0) conditions expanded in southern Alabama and in southern Florida this week in response to a lack of rain in those areas. The small area of severe (D2) drought in the Florida panhandle remains unchanged from last week. With the current pattern keeping the…
Posted in: Drought -
The North Carolina Climate Science Report is a scientific assessment of historical climate trends and potential future climate change in North Carolina under increased greenhouse gas concentrations. It was published today and is available online at https://ncics.org/programs/nccsr/ . You can also read a plain language summary at https://climate.ncsu.edu/climateblog?id=312&h=5666e5c1 . Even though this report is centered…
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The UGA Weather Network collects weather data at 86 stations across the state. This time of year, one of our most popular products are the soil temperature maps, since farmers want to plant into soil that is warm enough to promote seed germination. Most of south Georgia has reached the mid-60’s, which should be good…