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Do you understand how to interpret NOAA’s monthly and seasonal climate outlooks? They are not based on the strength of the departure from normal conditions but describe the probability of the direction of the swing. This is commonly misunderstood by many people who try to use them. You can read a good explainer at https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/understanding-noaas-monthly-and-seasonal-climate-outlooks.
Posted in: Climate science -
While I have been busy answering hurricane-related calls and emails, there have been plenty of other weather-related topics discussed in recent news. Here are some more stories of interest that I saw lately that are not related to hurricanes. AgWeb: Georgia Farmer Reaps Bigger Yields By Focusing On Better Acres Farm Progress: Mississippi River dries…
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Over the past couple of months I have received many questions about weather-related crop insurance and why the counties designated by the RMA do not match what they have experienced in their area. Producers are frustrated when they experience weather that they think clearly meets the requirements for the insurance and yet they are not…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
In the last couple of days, Tropical Storm Nadine and Hurricane Oscar formed to the south of the US, but neither of them will affect our weather here. Nadine formed just before making landfall along the coast of Belize on the eastern Yucatan Peninsula and dissipated as it moved inland over Mexico. Oscar formed very…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
Atmospheric rivers are narrow bands of intense water vapor transport that can form over the ocean and direct massive amounts of water towards the land. The results of this high-density flow of water are precipitation events which drop very large amounts of rain in a short time period, leading to flooding, landslides, and other extreme…
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I will be doing a review of the climate of the 2024 growing season (so far!) in this webinar on Tuesday morning. Join us for the Southeast Climate Monthly Webinar! This webinar series provides the region with information on current and developing climate conditions such as drought, floods, and tropical storms, as well as climatic…
Posted in: Events -
The latest 7-day QPF map shows virtually no rain across the region in the next week. This is likely to cause increases in the amount of drought that will be shown on next week’s Drought Monitor. It also means that crops that still need moisture will not get any relief. Those who are planting winter…
Posted in: Climate outlooks