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The Arctic air that invaded the Southeast early this week dropped temperatures to levels that broke daily temperature records in many parts of the region on Monday and Tuesday. This led to a first fall frost event that only happens about once every ten years or even less often in southern parts of the region.…
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The latest ENSO forecast was released today by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. It shows that the current weak La Nina is expected to last through the next few months but is expected to change back to neutral conditions by the January-March period. That is expected to be followed by a relatively rapid swing to La…
Posted in: El Nino and La Nina -
The latest Drought Monitor, released today, shows only slight changes in drought conditions across the region this week. The biggest increases in drought came in Florida and Virginia, with just small adjustments in most of the other states. Since the next week is going to be dry for most of the region and temperatures will…
Posted in: Drought -
Now that it is November, it is time to start thinking about holiday gifts. If you have a weather nerd in your family (husband, daughter, son, wife, or parent), you might consider giving them a home weather station. The New York Times posted a story this week about some stations they recommend. You can find…
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This is another week when the only rain that is expected will occur over the weekend, as another cold front passes through the region. The air behind the front will be cold and dry and no precipitation is expected except perhaps for a few snow flurries in lower areas in the north and some light…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The fall colors of the trees in my neighborhood in Georgia are really starting to come out, although they are not nearly as close to peak as those in the Southern Appalachian Mountains shown in Facebook images that my friends are posting as they travel up to the northeast this weekend. Fall is one of…
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One of the biggest surprises to me during this past Atlantic hurricane season was just how good the forecast models were. One of the biggest surprises was the new (to me) Google DeepMind AI model, which did an amazing job of forecasting the path of the storms this year and did well at predicting intensity…