Tropical weather

  • Today Tropical Storm Ida developed south of Cuba as expected. It is currently predicted to move NW into the Gulf of Mexico, where the very warm water there will help it spin up to a major or near-major hurricane before it makes landfall along the Louisiana coast on Sunday. Once it gets over land, it…

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  • Tropical outlook

    I’ve busy with two conferences this week, including the UGA Ext Emergency Prep Small Team Members group (hello, new subscribers!) so have not posted much. Here’s a brief update on the tropics for planning purposes. It won’t surprise you to know that the Atlantic is quite active right now. We are entering the peak time…

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  • August 26, 2021 | 3:00 pm EDT Florida BRACE announced a webinar this week that you might find of interest. Presented by Jake Carstens, Ph.D. candidate in the Department of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science, Florida State University. Tropical cyclones frequently impact Florida, and recent hurricanes have included Irma (2017), Michael (2018), and Sally (2020).…

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  • Henri heads for NYC

    The latest tropical outlook for TS Henri indicates that it is now likely to hit Long Island, New York, with a chance of hitting the Big City itself. I lived there for two years and have a hard time imagining how wild it would be with hurricane-force winds whipping through the skyscrapers. If you have…

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  • The North Carolina State Climate Office has produced a Rapid Response post on TS Fred for their blog. It describes how wet it was before Fred came through and how the heavy rain from Fred contributed to massive flooding in western NC that has left 35 people missing. You can read the blog and see…

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  • Earlier this week I talked about Tropical Storm Henri and how it looked like it would stay out to sea in the Atlantic. But since then, the forecasts have changed and are creeping west and now there is a chance it could hit the Northeast US early next week, although the cone of uncertainty that…

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  • It’s Henri, the 8th storm of 2021! Henri formed today in the Atlantic near Bermuda and looks like it will do a big loop before heading back to the northeast. No threat to any of us here in the US other than perhaps a few waves on the coast. Meanwhile, Fred is moving north along…

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