Tropical weather
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It’s been a remarkably quiet July and August this year, with no named tropical storms since the three that occurred early in the season. In fact, it’s one of the quietest tropical periods in the Atlantic basin since records began. But the models are starting to show a change in the pattern as the Saharan…
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Those of you who are older might remember the terrible storm that hit Miami (and later, Louisiana) 30 years ago this week, Hurricane Andrew. There have been a lot of interesting retrospective stories in the news about it. Here is a NOAA story with several links to interviews with National Hurricane Center forecasters and others…
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After a long calm spell, the tropics appear to be waking up, right on time as we approach the main part of the Atlantic hurricane season. The National Hurricane Center posted a 5-day outlook today that shows a wave coming off of Africa in the next day with a 40 percent chance of developing into…
Posted in: Tropical weather -

The North Carolina State Climate Office posted a blog story earlier this week about short-lived TS Colin, which formed near South Carolina and moved along the coast into North Carolina before it dissipated less than 24 hours after it formed. You can read more at The Tropics Come A-Colin – North Carolina State Climate Office…
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We have just finished the first month of the official Atlantic hurricane season. How unusual has it been? One thing is that we have already had three named storms, including Colin this past week (although the last time we had TS Colin in 2016, it occurred on June 6). The average date of the first…
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UPDATE: TS Colin dissipated today over eastern North Carolina, less than 24 hours after it officially formed. Those of you who live along the East Coast will probably not be surprised to hear that TS Colin formed overnight just off the coast of South Carolina. The tropical low that Colin formed from has crept along…
Posted in: Tropical weather -

A recent study, published in the journal Nature Climate Change, found that the annual number of global hurricanes, typhoons and tropical storms — or tropical cyclones, more generally — declined by roughly 13% as the planet warmed during the 20th century. But one ocean basin had an increase in storms–the North Atlantic, which is the source…
Posted in: Tropical weather