Tropical weather
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As of 5 am this morning, Ian became a hurricane as it moved over very warm water in an area with no wind shear overhead. Over the course of the day, it has been steadily gaining strength as it continued to move NW and now NNW towards the western tip of Cuba. The outer bands…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
While we in the Southeast are watching the approach of Hurricane Ian at a critical time for crop production, the latest super typhoon in the Pacific just hit the Philippines right before the rice harvest, flattening many areas of the crop. Super Typhoon Noru hit just north of Manila, flattening crops and buildings. This after…
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If you are an extension agent or producer in the Southeast, you might find these guides on hurricane preparation and recovery from the USDA Southeast Climate Hub to be very useful. There is a guide for each state in the Southeast but also a separate guide for each commodity, not just the regular commercial commodities…
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For most of the day on September 25, Tropical Storm Ian was looking disorganized because dry air at mid-levels in the atmosphere were keeping it from building vertical convection needed to strengthen the storm. However, the winds have increased this evening and the storm structure is expected to tighten over the next few hours as…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
Yesterday at this time, Tropical Depression 9 had just become Tropical Storm Ian. Yesterday and early today, Ian has been fighting some adverse conditions, including outflow from Hurricane Fiona. But Fiona has moved out of range and with warm ocean temperatures and no wind shear aloft, there is not much to keep Ian from developing…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
The latest 7-day QPF map is heavily impacted by today’s forecast of where Hurricane Ivan is likely to go based on one model. It shows that areas along of and to the east of the track of the storm may be hit by several inches of rain while areas to the west of the track…
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With the recent increase in hurricane activity in the Atlantic, you may be seeing pictures of the National Hurricane Center’s forecast cones for upcoming storms. There is a lot of misinformation about what the cone means and what it does not mean. NOAA provided this short video that explains how the cone is drawn and…