Tropical weather
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UPDATE: Link to video and slides now available at https://www.drought.gov/webinars/southeast-climate-monthly-webinar-june-27-2023. Join us for the Southeast Climate Monthly Webinar! These webinars provide the region with timely information on current and developing climate conditions such as drought, floods, and tropical storms, as well as climatic events like El Niño and La Niña. Speakers may also discuss the…
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You probably have not heard much about the two tropical systems in the Atlantic over the last few days. I took a look tonight and found that as of this afternoon Bret had disintegrated and was no longer considered a tropical depression. At the moment the remains are drifting south but there is some chance…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
The latest prediction for TS Bret is that it is expected to continue to move east and is no longer expected to reach hurricane status due to strong wind shear that is already tilting the circulation and weakening it. Most likely it will fizzle somewhere over the Caribbean but could bring some heavy rain and…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
Tonight the National Hurricane Center officially declared Bret as a tropical storm. The forecast cone shows that Bret is expected to continue west and gradually strengthen to a hurricane until it gets into the Caribbean. At that point, wind shear is likely to weaken Bret back to a tropical storm. The computer models have a…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
Today the National Hurricane Center posted a 7-day outlook that shows a wave that recently came off of Africa has a 70 percent chance of developing in the next seven days. This is quite a bit earlier than usual, but since water temperatures are much warmer than usual there is plenty of energy for a…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
If you are interested in following discussions about the tropics during hurricane season, you might be interested in subscribing to The Eyewall, a daily newsletter that provides daily commentary on what is going on (or not going on) in the Atlantic in regard to developing tropical weather. You can view it and subscribe if you…
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This afternoon the disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico reached tropical storm status and was named Arlene. The path of Arlene continues to show a southward drift, but it is expected to curve to the northeast over the open water between Florida and Cuba before skirting the southeast Florida coast and head out to sea.…
Posted in: Tropical weather