Tropical weather
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Most of the Southeast will see only moderate amounts of rain this week. The exception: the coast of South Carolina and points inland where current Tropical Depression 2 is expected to come onshore later this weekend and then meander northeast along the coast, dropping additional rain in North Carolina. According to the National Hurricane Center,…
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NOAA released their official forecast for the Atlantic tropical season today. The full text is below. The forecast says that a near-normal number of storms is the most likely outcome. This means that there is a 70% likelihood of 10-16 named storms, 4-8 hurricanes and 1-4 major hurricanes. Forecasts do not include the likelihood of…
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The tropical disturbance in the Atlantic continues to grow, and the National Hurricane Center now has it at an 80% chance of development within 48 hours, or by Saturday evening. For most of the Southeast, that should not be a concern, but if you live in or are going to the coast of Georgia, South…
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The National Hurricane Center put out a 5-day advisory for the east coast of the Southeast showing a small chance of tropical storm development in the 3-5 day period, which puts it smack in the middle of the holiday weekend. Weather Underground published a story about this yesterday at https://www.wunderground.com/news/atlantic-basin-tropical-subtropical-development-late-may-early-june-2016#prclt-U7RW1mcz. While this is not going to…
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Jon Erdman wrote a piece in WunderBlog about Florida’s decade-long hurricane drought. It’s been over ten years since a hurricane made landfall anywhere in the state. You can read it here. With this year likely to bring a La Niña to the tropics, the chances of a hurricane in the Atlantic go up. But we…
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This week is Hurricane Awareness week for NOAA. All week the National Weather Service will be providing information about hurricanes and tropical storm risk. In the Southeast we are particularly vulnerable to Atlantic hurricanes, and after more than ten years without a strong storm, it feels like we are overdue for one. Today’s blog post…
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Today is the first day of the official tropical season in the Eastern Pacific Ocean. And right on time, we see a 10% chance of formation from a disorganized system of clouds. As we swing from El Niño to La Niña this summer, we are likely to see fewer than usual storms in the Eastern…