El Nino and La Nina
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You might expect that in an El Nino winter, the chance of freezing nights would go up, since El Nino winters are generally cooler than average. I decided to test that by looking at the number of nights that the minimum temperature got below 32 F and seeing if years with El Nino had more…
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NOAA released the latest ENSO update this morning. It continues to show that the current El Nino is purring along as expected and has an 80% chance of continuing through spring. You can read more about it in the latest ENSO blog at October 2023 El Niño update: big cats | NOAA Climate.gov or look…
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On Friday, October 6, the first big cold front of fall will push through a lot of the Southeast, bringing much cooler and drier conditions to the region. It will be a fairly dry front, though, so not much relief from the dry conditions we have been experiencing the past few weeks. Since we are…
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When I talk about impacts of El Nino in the Southeast, I often mention that the jet stream moves south to a position that is usually located across southern AL and GA and northern FL. The jet stream pushes along the winter storm systems that bring rain (and occasionally snow) to the region. Cloud cover…
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The latest El Nino outlook, issued last week, shows that we are currently in an El Nino and that it is likely to continue through spring before transitioning to neutral conditions. The forecasts give it a 71% chance of being a strong El Nino, but that does not necessarily translate to strong impacts. Having said…
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Are you someone who educates middle and high school students about earth sciences? You might find this new NOAA resource on El Nino to be useful. It includes an online module along with student worksheets and a teacher guide on El Nino and its impacts on the Eastern Pacific Ocean. It starts with basic graph…
Posted in: El Nino and La Nina -
The latest ENSO outlook shows that El Nino is occurring and is expected to continue through at least spring 2024, with at least a 90% chance of lasting through the Northern Hemisphere winter. There is an 81 percent chance it will be a moderate to strong El Nino through the November through January period. You…
Posted in: El Nino and La Nina