Climate outlooks

  • I have heard from a few of you asking about whether or not we will get any cold weather this winter. Never fear, in spite of recent very warm temperatures, a pattern shift in the next week should bring a lot cooler weather to the region. By early next week we should see some frosty…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows that the main storm track this week will be in the north and west parts of the Southeast, where several inches may fall over the next seven days. Away from the storm track in the Florida peninsula and along the coasts of the other states, little rain should fall.…

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  • The latest weekly ENSO outlook was released by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center today and show that while the sea surface temperatures in the eastern Pacific Ocean are quite warm at the moment, neutral ENSO conditions are expected to continue through Northern Hemisphere winter (70% chance) and spring (65% chance). In neutral conditions there is no…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows that most of the Southeast should see relatively little rain in the next week. The exception is a swath stretching from SW Alabama to the northeast all the way to western NC and VA, which should see more rain, especially late in the week. Warmer and wetter than normal…

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  • The latest monthly climate outlook for January 2020 is now available from the Climate Prediction Center. It shows that all of the Southeast is expected to be warmer than normal, particularly in the southern parts of the region. Most of the region is also leaning towards wetter than normal conditions, due in part to the…

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  • A strong Gulf low pressure center will bring copious rain to parts of the Southeast over the next few days. Virginia should be largely missed by the rain event. Several inches could fall in some areas, and windy conditions and strong waves are also likely. After that storm leaves, the rest of the week should…

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  • The latest outlook for January 2020 and beyond came out earlier this week from the Climate Prediction Center. It shows that January is leaning towards wetter than normal conditions but that there is no signal in temperature. For the January through March period, the long-term trend towards warmer than normal conditions is likely to occur…

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