Climate outlooks

  • After a very beautiful and dry week, the rain is coming back to the region with a vengeance this week, as frontal rain and a cutoff low bring multiple days of rainto the region. Some areas in northern Georgia could see several inches of rain before the system finally starts moving out to the east…

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  • The latest monthly climate outlook from NOAA’s Climate Prediction was released earlier this week. It shows that all of the Southeast except the southern tip of Florida has an enhanced chance of warmer than normal conditions for October. Rainfall is listed as equal chances of wetter, drier, and normal conditions, which means there is no…

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  • A “cut-off” low is an area of low pressure in the atmosphere separated or cut off from the main atmospheric circulation. That means it does not feel the steering effects of the westerly winds and sits and spins in one spot for several days until something comes to push it out. We get cut-off lows…

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  • With just a few days to go in the end of the month, the maps show that most of the region has received more rain than normal. The wet areas are also cooler than normal, most likely due to the cloud cover and difficulty heating all that water. This last week of dry conditions will…

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  • The latest 5-day Atlantic forecast notes two new areas of likely development over the next five days. These two waves are at lower latitudes than Hurricane Sam, which means they are more likely to reach the Southeast than other waves that develop at higher latitudes. But there is a long way to cross over the…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows most of the region is not expeted to receive any rain, and the areas along the East Coast and in Florida that might receive a little are not expected to get much. Great news for those who want to get field work or harvesting done! The forecasts for the…

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  • The latest glance at the tropical Atlantic shows a lot of activity, including TS Peter and TS Rose, plus a couple of areas of interest. Both Peter and Rose are expected to turn north well before they get close to the US, so neither of them is a factor in our weather. The center of…

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