Climate outlooks
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The latest 7-day QPF map is heavily impacted by today’s forecast of where Hurricane Ivan is likely to go based on one model. It shows that areas along of and to the east of the track of the storm may be hit by several inches of rain while areas to the west of the track…
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Over the course of the last day, Tropical Depression 9 formed in the Atlantic Ocean north of South America and Tropical Depression 10 formed off the west coast of Africa. TD10 subsequently became Tropical Storm Hermine over the course of the day. It poses no threat to us in the Southeast. TD9 struggled a bit…
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While the early part of this year’s Atlantic tropical season was very quiet, lately things have gotten a lot more active. Fortunately, the recent storms so far have kept well away from the Southeast as a strong high pressure center has diverted the storms away from us. This may be about to change with a…
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High pressure and completely dry conditions are expected to continue for most of the Southeast in the next week. The exceptions are coastal areas and the Florida peninsula, although the heaviest rain will remain off the coast. The streak of heavy rain you see in the map in the Atlantic marks the path of TS…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center issued their latest seasonal climate outlook today for October through December 2022. The maps show that they expect October to be warmer and drier than normal across most of the country. There is less certainty in the Southeast because we are still in the Atlantic tropical season and if we get…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest 7-day QPF map shows that it should be a rainy weekend for most of the region, dumping showers on many football games and other outdoor activities. By Monday night a cold front is expected to move through the region, bringing cool and dry conditions to most of the region with the exception of…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center issued their latest ENSO outlook today. It shows that there is a 91% chance that the current La Nina will last through fall, and a 54% chance that it will last through March 2023. Typically, a La Nina winter in the Southeast means an increased likelihood of warmer than normal temperatures…