Climate outlooks

  • While the Southeast can get severe weather any month of the year, the highest likelihood is typically in the March through May period. Over the next few days, a large area of low pressure in the central U.S. will set up conditions that are favorable for the development of severe weather here in the Southeast.…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows two areas where heavy rain of up to 5 inches will fall in the next week. In the next two days, a band of heavy rain will occur along and just north of the Georgia-Florida border. This could result in flooding of fields and washing out of any newly…

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  • After a dry weekend, rain will return to the region by midweek, bringing 1-2 inches to Alabama and Georgia and half an inch to an inch to the rest of the region except for southern Florida, which will be dry again this week as it often is this time of year. The rain will continue…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows that a Gulf low will bring rain to areas in the southern part of our region but most of the rest of the Southeast should experience relatively dry conditions during the next week, with the lowest chances for rain late in the week. Week 2 looks like it could…

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  • The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks were released earlier this week. They show a pattern of temperature and rainfall that is consistent with the weak La Nina conditions we are currently in. The dry conditions in southern AL and GA as well as FL are likely to contribute to strengthening of drought conditions in that…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows a bifurcated pattern in the rainfall this week due to two storms that will pass over the Southeast. The first of them is moving into Alabama tonight and will progress through the region on Sunday. I expect to get some rain early in the morning on Sunday a few…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows that several storms are expected to impact the Southeast over the next week as a few shortwaves move along a front located in the northern part of the region will bring pulses of rain to northern Alabama and Georgia as well as the western Carolinas and most of Tennessee.…

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