Climate outlooks
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Dr. Clyde Fraisse of AgroClimate.org has produced a new detailed outlook on climate and agriculture in the Southeast based on the current state of El Niño and its projected trend over the next few months. The outlook includes both local impacts on crops, livestock, and forests and also discusses the impacts of the El Niño on…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The Climate Prediction Center released their latest three-month forecast today. It shows that for the Southeast, temperatures in Florida and the East Coast are more likely than normal to be warm, and all of the Southeast has an increased chance of wet conditions. This is in line with current temperature trends and expectations of the…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
Many farmers will be happy this week if they need dry weather to harvest. After the current band of rain moves south, most of the Southeast (with the exception of Florida) will have dry and cool conditions, although warmer conditions will return by the end of the week. Many areas will get less than 1/10…
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September 10 marks the middle of the Atlantic tropical season, as seen in the graph below. Today we are up to storm H for “Henri”, which is headed northeast and poses no threat to the US. There are currently three “X’s” in the Atlantic, with one at 50% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone…
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The latest 7 day QPF indicates that rains of about an inch should be common across the Southeast this coming week. The heaviest rain should be in southern Florida, with close to two inches. Lower amounts are expected in the drought-stricken area of central North and South Carolinas.
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
David Zierden, the Florida State Climatologist, recently posted an update on El Nino on the SIFT blog. You can read it at https://www.siftag.org/super-el-nino-poised-to-disrupt-weather-patterns/. Climate Central also published a video comparison of the 1997 and 2015 El Nino sea surface temperatures here.
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Here is a recent article I wrote for Georgia Organics. You can also read it at https://georgiaorganics.org/2015/08/what-does-the-godzilla-el-nino-mean-for-georgia-farmers/. There’s been a lot of hype in the popular news this month about the prospects for a very strong El Nino, which is developing in the eastern Pacific Ocean and is expected to peak this winter. El Nino…