Climate outlooks
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows that many areas of the Southeast will get little rain this week. While October is typically the driest time of year, the lack of rain this year is leading to worsening drought. I can think of several areas that probably should be designated as worse than what the Drought…
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NOAA’s latest set of climate predictions was released this morning and show that warmer and drier conditions than normal are likely to occur over large parts of the Southeast for the period November through April, particularly in south Alabama and Georgia and in Florida. These predictions are consistent with NOAA’s reissue of a La Niña…
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With October half over, it’s time to see how we are doing so far. The temperature departure map shows that almost all of the Southeast is significantly above normal in temperature. The coolest areas are where rain from Hermine fell last month, but even those areas are near or above normal. The drought-stricken parts of…
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A very hopeful sign for rain appears in the 7 day QPF forecast. While this weekend will probably be dry and that dryness will continue on Monday through Wednesday, Thursday and Friday look like rain will fall over most of the Southeast. The heaviest amounts are predicted to hit the drought-ravaged areas of northwest Georgia…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
Last month, NOAA declared that based on the most recent data, the chance of a La Niña developing was only about 40 percent, and they removed the La Niña watch that they had declared earlier this summer. One month later, and the La Niña watch has returned with a 70% chance of occurring. The change…
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The latest 7-day QPF shows no rain for many parts of the Southeast, with the except of the Carolinas where Matthew is still dropping flooding rains and will continue to do so for the next day or so. The lack of rainfall in the driest areas is expected to increase drought while the heavy rain…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest 7-day QPF shows that much of the driest area of the Southeast will experience no rain at all in the next week. If this happens, expect drought conditions to expand in the region. But there is quite a bit of uncertainty with the forecast this week because of Category 5 Hurricane Matthew in…
Posted in: Climate outlooks