Climate outlooks
-
The latest edition of the Monthly Water Resources Outlook video from the National Weather Service has now been posted on YouTube. You can find it at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GX5GUCz2F90&feature=youtu.be.
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
While El Niño has not officially started yet, and probably won’t be declared for a few months, the impacts of the expected El Niño are already showing up in predictions for this coming winter. The latest outlooks from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center show that August is likely to be above normal in temperature but there…
-
The latest 7-day QPF map shows at least a couple of inches of rain this week across the region. It’s hard to look at the forecast maps and see any 24-hour periods with no rain at all. The driest areas are likely to be northern Alabama and NW Georgia and the central Carolinas and Virginia…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
One of the benefits of all of our rain this year has been a reduction in the potential for wildfires. The four-month outlook for significant wildfires from the National Interagency Fire Center shows below-normal potential for each of the next four months. You can see the maps and read more using the link to the…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest round of ENSO forecasts now puts the chances of an El Niño occurring this winter at 70%, up from 64% last month. Generally once you get past spring, forecasts become more reliable and trustworthy, although they are certainly not perfect. The El Niño, if it occurs as expected, is likely to bring cooler, cloudier…
-
The latest 7 day QPF map shows that rain is expected over all of the Southeast except for just some light rain in Virginia. The heaviest amounts are located off the coast where Tropical Depression Three (expected to become TS Chris sometime today) is meandering around. The area around the Gulf of Mexico will also…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest 30-day outlook for July 2018 shows that for most of the Southeast, conditions are likely to continue to be warmer and wetter than normal, according to the latest posting from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. The only area where equal changes of below, near and above normal precipitation are noted is the region that…
Posted in: Climate outlooks