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The latest 7-day QPF map shows that rain in the next week should be relatively light. Most of it will fall in the period from Thursday morning in northwestern Alabama and then progressing through the region Thursday night into Saturday morning before the weekend dries out. After that front moves through, temperatures will rebound to…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
A new report on the fall flash drought of 2023 in the Southeast is now available from Drought.gov. You can read more about the development of the drought as well as its impacts on agriculture, forestry, and other industries at https://www.drought.gov/news/facing-future-droughts-lessons-southeasts-2023-fall-flash-drought-2025-12-12. There is a link to the full report on that page as well. The…
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The latest Drought Monitor, released this morning, shows that drought conditions improved by one category over large portions of northern Florida as well as southern Alabama and southwestern Georgia. The area of exceptional (D4) drought in SWGA was removed, and drought conditions also improved in southeast North Carolina as well as northern Virginia. However, drought…
Posted in: Drought -
During the last ten months, the National Weather Service saw significant decreases in staffing due to early retirements and layoffs associated with the downsizing of NOAA. The loss of experienced staff was especially concerning because of the worry about an active Atlantic hurricane season. Weather data was also lost as so many staff left that…
Posted in: Climate and Ag in the news -
The latest ENSO discussion from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center was issued today. It shows that the current weak La Nina is expected to continue for the next couple of months with a transition back to neutral conditions likely in the January-March period. By midsummer it is possible that we will swing the other way into…
Posted in: El Nino and La Nina -
If you use USGS streamflow, groundwater, or precipitation data, you will want to know about this. USGS is going through a modernization process and will be ending much of their pre-calculated statistics information by the end of 2025 or very early 2026. Thus, WaterWatch will be decommissioned. Realtime and monthly (for the prior month) streamflow percentiles will…
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The global climate maps for November 2025 are now available from https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/ghcn-gridded-products/maps/201711. They show most of the planet was warmer than normal with a number of areas the warmest everywhere. The precipitation map shows that most of the eastern United States was drier than normal except the area right around the Great Lakes. The Southeast…
Posted in: Climate summaries