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The latest ENSO discussion was released today. It shows that we are close to a transition from neutral conditions to a La Nina in the next couple of months. A La Nina is 71 percent likely to be present in the October-December period. That could mean warmer and drier conditions in the southern part of…
Posted in: El Nino and La Nina -
The latest Drought Monitor, released this morning, shows that abnormally dry (D0) conditions expanded across a lot of the region and moderate (D1) drought appeared in central and northern Virginia as well as expanded in Alabama this week due to the lack of rain. The only place where drought decreased was along the East Coast…
Posted in: Drought -
The latest 7-day QPF map shows that no rain is expected for most of the region in the next week. The only exception is Florida and areas immediately next to the Gulf and Atlantic coasts, which could see some scattered showers. Most of the rain will be associated with a stalled front located across the…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
Earlier this week we were watching an area of disturbed weather called Invest 91L in the Atlantic Ocean moving westward towards us. However, a combination of Saharan dust and wind shear have effectively destroyed the cluster of storms before they could develop tropical characteristics and it is no longer expected to become a tropical storm.…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
What do mesonet operators do when they are not out in the field maintaining equipment? Just like everyone else, we go to meetings! For mesonet operators, we learn more about how to measure the weather accurately, do quality control on the data, and provide it to our users in an effective way. This article from…
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ProPublica published a series of maps describing how the climate of the US is likely to change by mid-century back in 2020. It popped up in my social media feeds this week so I thought it might be good to highlight it again. You can see the article at https://projects.propublica.org/climate-migration/. One of the most striking…
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The preliminary climate summary for August 2025 shows that most of the Southeast was much colder than normal, with mean temperatures ranking in the top five coldest Augusts on record for many stations in the region. The exception was the Florida Peninsula, which was on the other side of a persistent front and experienced one…
Posted in: Climate summaries