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The latest seasonal outlooks for the US were released by NOAA earlier this week. They show that the El Nino pattern of warm north, cool south is likely to continue through at least March. After that, the Southeast may return to values close to normal, or at least the seasonal forecast does not show the…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest 7-day QPF map shows that most of the rain from the system that is currently in the region is moving south and is now in southern GA and AL and into Florida, where the front will stall over the next few days. That will bring a lot of rain to the Sunshine State,…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
While we have all been watching the current strong El Nino for signs of weakening and swinging to La Nina, that is not the only factor that will impact the weather across the United States this summer. This year another big factor will be the sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic, which are currently far…
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Earlier this week, NOAA provided the global monthly climate summary for January 2024. It showed that this January had record warmth again this year, the latest in a string of record-breaking months. It was also the second wettest January on record. Temperatures were above average over much of the globe, but the eastern United States,…
Posted in: Climate summaries -
Chill hours are generally low in Florida because it is so far south that it does not often experience temperatures below 45 F. But in the past few years, the chill accumulation has been even lower than average, resulting in challenges to peach producers there. That does not mean they can’t be grown, but the…
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The latest Drought Monitor, released earlier today, shows that nearly all drought has been removed from the Southeast. There is still a small area of moderate (D1) drought near Tampa, but only a few patches of abnormally dry (D0) conditions remain over most of the area due to the recent rain. Drought was also reduced…
Posted in: Drought -
According to NOAA’s new Polar Vortex blog, after a brief respite, the stratospheric polar vortex is expected to weaken again with potentially another major sudden stratospheric warming forecast to occur in the next week. But didn’t we just have a sudden stratospheric warming event?? Their blog post discusses how this new weakening of the polar vortex…
Posted in: Climate science