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While most of the computer models of Hurricane Dorian’s track at present keep the center of circulation offshore as it moves up the coast, there is still considerable uncertainty because of the slow movement of the storm and the weak steering currents. Because of this the governors of Georgia and South Carolina have decided to…
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For climatologists, today is the first day of fall. We use calendar months instead of the astronomical calendar because in the past it was easier to do climate calculations using the calendar month. But it turns out that the climatological seasons are better aligned with what we actually see in the annual swing of temperatures…
Posted in: Climate and Ag in the news -
The final climate outlook for September was released today. It shows that the temperature is likely to be warmer than normal across the region, with the highest likelihood in the Florida peninsula. The precip outlook is heavily weighted by what they think will happen with Hurricane Dorian over the next few days and shows that…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
This morning’s 7 day QPF map shows a band of heavy rain along the East Coast of the US. This mirrors this morning’s expected path of Hurricane Dorian along the coast. If that happens, then some areas near the coast could see as much as ten inches. But if you’ve been paying attention, you know…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The good news is that Hurricane Dorian has slowed down. That gives us more time to prepare, since now it is not likely to be affecting Georgia (except for coastal areas, which will get hit sooner) until the middle of next week or later. We also have more confidence in where the storm is likely…
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If you are feeling whiplash from all the media attention on Hurricane Dorian, you are not alone. Any potential for a big storm is going to bring out a lot of media attention, good and bad, and this certainly has the potential to be very bad. Here are a few of my thoughts while looking…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
This week’s spotty rain was enough to improve abnormally dry conditions in Alabama, Georgia, and South Carolina, while leaving the other states unchanged. The spots of drought remain in those areas, however. We probably won’t see a change in next week’s map, since most of the rain in the next 5 days will be in…
Posted in: Drought