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Almost everyone has seen radar images of precipitation on television or online in the past and knows at least a little about how to interpret them. While many television stations have their own low-power radars, the majority of weather radar images come from the National Weather Service. But their radar images come in two ways…
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The latest 7 day QPF map shows that most of the Southeast should have a fairly dry week, with some showers this weekend and again towards the end of the week but mostly dry mid-week. The exception is the southern end of the Florida peninsula, which could receive copious rain from a tropical system which…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest climate predictions from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center are out and show that for June, July and August 2020, temperatures across the Southeast are leaning towards warmer than normal conditions and precipitation is leaning towards wetter than normal amounts. That does not mean there will be no dry or cool spells, but at this…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
As a meteorologist I often roll my eyes when I hear comments about weather models always being wrong. In fact, most of them are very good, but even the best aren’t perfect, because there are inherent errors in input data, simplifications of atmospheric processes like precipitation formation which happen on small scales, computing errors due…
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The latest Drought Monitor, released this morning, shows that the severe drought in Florida has been reduced but two areas still remain in southwest FL and a small patch in the Panhandle. Alabama had very slight increases in drought, and abnormally dry conditions stretched north into the area along the southern border of Georgia. Relatively…
Posted in: Drought -
Two new research studies on tropical cyclones (the generic name for hurricanes across the world) shows that hurricanes are getting stronger over time and are also forming farther from the equator, putting new populations at risk. These studies, both based on satellite observations, show that climate change is having an impact on the formation and…
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The official NOAA forecast for the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season was released today. It’s no surprise that they predicted a 60 percent chance of an more active than average season, because four other groups have already predicted the same. The lack of an El Nino coupled with above-average ocean surface temperatures and being on the…