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NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center released their latest outlook for ENSO today at https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml. It shows that neutral conditions are likely to continue through most of the next year, with an almost even chance of going back to a La Nina over the late fall and early winter. El Nino has a low probability of occurrence…
Posted in: El Nino and La Nina -
The latest Drought Monitor, released today, shows that much of the Florida Peninsula has improved in drought status with the recent rains that have fallen there. Only the southeast part of the state has seen dry conditions expand. Elsewhere in the mainland region, a few small areas of abnormally dry (D0) conditions have appeared due…
Posted in: Drought -
Even though we have not been hit by a hurricane yet this year, now is a great time to prepare just in case you get hit by one later this year. Here is a good summary article on what you need to do before, during, and after the storm from Yahoo News. You can find…
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Over the last few days the area of disturbed weather off the East Coast coalesced into Tropical Storm Chantal, made landfall on the South Carolina coast, and is slowly weakening and moving north. It is now a Tropical Depression with further weakening likely. It will continue to bring some rainy conditions to central and eastern…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
The latest 7-day QPF map shows that almost everywhere in the Southeast will get at least an inch of rain this week. The heaviest amounts will be associated with Tropical Depression Chantal, which came ashore on the South Carolina coast this morning and is moving north. Eastern North Carolina and Virginia are likely to see…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
Whatever the weather, I hope you have a grand time celebrating the 4th of July with your friends and family! Please remember all those who are working today to keep you safe, including the firefighters, police, hospital workers, and the National Weather Service meteorologists who are monitoring the weather.
Posted in: Events -
Over the last two days the front has pushed through a lot of the Southeast and an area of low pressure is forming along the nearly stationary front in NE Florida. This low is expected to drift east or northeast over the Atlantic Ocean, where it has a 60% chance of becoming Tropical Storm Chantal.…
Posted in: Tropical weather