Tropical weather
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Since my last blog post on the tropics, Tropical Depression 5 has organized and became Tropical Storm Ernesto yesterday. It has been moving at a very fast rate of speed and is now approaching Puerto Rico. It is expected to experience rainfall of 6-8 inches on the southeast coast as well as tropical storm force…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
The National Hurricane Center has just debuted a new updated hurricane cone with a sleeker look. While they are not yet using it in notifications about TS Ernesto, which is about to hit Puerto Rico, it should be appearing on their website soon. You can read more about the changes that are coming to the…
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The latest tropical disturbance, for now named Investigation 98, has a 50% chance of developing into a named storm (Ernesto) in two days and 90% chance in seven days. The current model paths for the storm are quite consistent in showing that the storm is likely to turn north before it gets to the East…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
Now that Debby is down to a tropical depression and headed out of our region soon, it is time to look ahead to see what is ahead. The National Hurricane Center has another area with a 50% chance of development in the next week somewhere in the western Atlantic. Since there is no center yet,…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
Someone on the NWS Peachtree City’s Facebook page today asked how the observed rainfall from Debby compared to the predicted amount. While Debby is still dropping some rain in Georgia, South Carolina and points north, here is a preliminary comparison. Below is a comparison of the reported and the forecast amounts. The comparison is actually…
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As I write this, the remains of Hurricane Debby have moved off the coast of Georgia and will be spinning there for over a day before the center drifts back onshore and then gets caught up in steering currents and quickly moves up the East Coast, where it is already raining and causing havoc there.…
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Since the forecasts for Debby have been quite good in timing and intensity as well as the path it has taken so far, I am not going to spend much time discussing them. Tonight and tomorrow Debby is expected to continue its slow movement northeast and will likely go over the coast into the Atlantic…
Posted in: Tropical weather