Tropical weather
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If you know something about hurricane climatology, you probably already know that the peak of hurricane season is in early to mid-September based on the likelihood of a named storm occurring on any particular date. But it turns out that there are different ways to determine it based on counts, tropical storm energy, and other…
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Here’s an interesting long-form story from CNN for those of you who, like me, are fascinated by the work that hurricane hunters do to monitor developing storms and collect information that can be used to predict future storm path and development. In this case, the hurricane hunters are taking measurements near the Cape Verde Islands…
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As of 11 pm on Friday night, Tropical Storm Earl formed in the western Atlantic Ocean. The current forecast is for Earl to curve to the north and then northeast without hitting any land. It is not expected to become a hurricane but to remain a tropical storm. Folks along the East Coast might want…
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Today Hurricane Danielle formed in the central Atlantic, far from land over a patch of unusually warm water much farther north than most hurricanes form. This is the first hurricane named in 2022 but probably will not be the last. Danielle is not a threat to land, although remnants of Danielle might eventually bring some…
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Over the weekend, the tropics have started to wake up after a long spell with no tropical activity. As of Sunday night, there are four areas identified on the Atlantic Ocean map that have a chance of developing into a tropical depression in the next five days. The area in the center of the main…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
You may see the National Hurricane Center daily maps showing the likely areas of development for tropical storms and wonder how long it takes the storm to get close enough to the Southeast to worry about. This excellent map from Ed Piotrowski shows the average number of days it takes for a storm to get…
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While the Atlantic tropics have been very quiet for the last two months, we are finally starting to see the possibility of some development of the waves that are now coming off of Africa. There are two areas of potential development in the Atlantic today, and while the potential of development in the next five…