Tropical weather
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Earlier today I wrote about the difficulty that hurricane forecasters were having in making a good forecast on where Erika is going. Here’s a little more information to show you just how tough it can be. Hurricane forecasters, like weather forecasters and climate modelers, use a variety of computer models to simulate what the future…
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The 11 AM forecast for Erika is now available and shows a very slight shift to the west on the projected path, although the change is not large. In their discussion the forecasters note that the storm is very disorganized, which makes it much harder to make an accurate prediction of where it is ultimately…
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Earlier today I sent out a note to all UGA Extension agents about the possibility of impacts from Tropical Storm Erika early next week. At the time of the email, Florida and southern Georgia as well as the eastern Carolinas were in the forecast cone for a direct pass by TS Erika starting on Sunday…
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As meteorologists watch the evolution of Tropical Storm Erika today, it is becoming more clear that Florida is going to be impacted by the storm. What happens after that is less clear, but if you live in Florida, southern Georgia, or the eastern Carolinas you should be watching the outlooks closely. It now appears highly…
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The National Hurricane Center issued its last statement on the remains of what was once Hurricane Danny this morning. Danny hit an area of cooler ocean temperatures and strong wind shear which shut down convection in the storm, leaving just a remnant tropical wave which is not expected to redevelop, although it could bring some…
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At 11 AM this morning the National Hurricane Center declared that Danny has been upgraded to hurricane status. This makes the storm the first hurricane of the year. On the satellite picture below you can see the beginning of an eye, which often appears about the time a storm reaches hurricane status. Danny still has…
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At 5 pm today the National Hurricane Center named Tropical Storm Danny as the fourth named storm of the year. Danny is still far out to sea and it will take a week just to reach the Lesser Antilles, so we will not see anything for quite a while. Danny is expected to become a…