Tropical weather
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As of 2 pm, Hurricane Joaquin is now considered a dangerous category 4 hurricane with winds of 130 mph battering parts of the Bahama Islands. The latest projected path keeps it off shore, although there is still a lot of range in what the models are predicting. However, the strong flow around the storm directing…
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My meteorologist friends have been filling up social media today with the latest information on Hurricane Joaquin, currently a strong category 2 storm in the Atlantic Ocean. (Note: at 11 pm it was increased to a major Category 3 hurricane.) It is moving slowly southwest now but is expected to make a sharp right turn and…
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Hurricane specialists have noted that this has been one of the quietest hurricane seasons in the Western Atlantic since records began. You have to go back to 1914 to find a year with so few hurricanes in that region (through September 22). A number of news articles have been written about this hurricane “drought”, including this one…
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The State Climate Office of North Carolina has a new blog post on the biggest hurricanes to hit their state. You can find it at https://climate.ncsu.edu/climateblog?id=153&h=5666e5c1.
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The Facebook feed for “This Day in Weather History” reminded me that in 1999, Hurricane Floyd was approaching the Southeast with winds of 145 mph. It did not hit the coast but veered north, paralleling the coast and causing massive evacuations and traffic problems. Some of the current policies in place for using interstate highways…
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September 10 marks the middle of the Atlantic tropical season, as seen in the graph below. Today we are up to storm H for “Henri”, which is headed northeast and poses no threat to the US. There are currently three “X’s” in the Atlantic, with one at 50% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone…
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If you follow tropical forecasts closely, as I do, you will be interested in this post-storm analysis of Tropical Storm Erika. The National Hurricane Center provides a report here which explains why Erika’s forecast was not as good as predictions of tropical storms in previous years.