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Ensemble forecasts give confidence in seasonal predictions

Seasonal forecasts are available from a number of sources, including the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) and the International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI).  Today the Illinois State Climatologist, Jim Angel, wrote in his blog about another CPC source of monthly and seasonal forecasts at http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/NMME/seasanom.shtml. The North American Multi-Model Ensemble…
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Tropical Depression 4 expected to become TS Danny later today

The National Hurricane Center has declared that the area of interest they’ve been watching in the eastern Atlantic Ocean has a closed circulation by looking at satellite wind data.  They have identified it as Tropical Depression 4.  Models suggest that it will continue to strengthen during the day today and…
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JetStream: NWS free online weather course

The National Weather Service sent out a notice this week announcing the availability of JetStream, their free online course on the weather.  You can access the course at http://www.srh.noaa.gov/jetstream/.  Here is how they describe the course: “Welcome to JetStream, the National Weather Service Online Weather School. This site is designed…
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“The Weather Forecasts in the Old Farmer’s Almanac Are a Bunch of Malarkey”

Once more, the Old Farmer’s Almanac and the Farmers’ Almanac have hit the bookstores and checkout aisles in the supermarkets, ready to provide instant weather forecasts for the next year to anyone who is willing to pay the price.  And the media always cover this event as if there is…
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