El Nino and La Nina
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Forecasts for La Niña continue to show that we are likely to get a third year in a row of La Niña conditions in the Eastern Pacific Ocean. This means that our next winter could be warmer and drier than normal again. Some of the longest-range models are showing this already. As I have learned…
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The latest La Nina outlook for June 2022 and beyond was issued today by NCEI. It shows that there is a 59% chance of La Nina in early winter after a slight decrease in the likelihood of La Nina this summer. You can read more about it at June 2022 ENSO update: how does your…
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As we roll into Memorial Day weekend, sweet corn farmers are usually seeing a high demand for their delicious crops as people fire up their grills and prepare for picnics and holiday gatherings. However, this year the demand from northern parts of the US has been lower than usual due to lingering cold conditions that…
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The latest La Nina outlook was released by NOAA today. It shows that La Nina is remaining strong and is now the most likely state of ENSO (El Nino Southern Oscillation) to continue through the summer and into the fall. This means that if this forecast is good, we are likely to see warmer and…
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NOAA released their latest ENSO outlook today. It shows considerable uncertainty in whether the La Nina will go away and conditions will return to neutral or if La Nina will continue, with variation between different computer models. The overall outlook is for a slight edge towards the continuation of La Nina conditions over the summer,…
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The latest La Nina discussion in NOAA’s Climate blog came out today, and it shows that surprisingly, La Nina strengthened in February instead of weakening as expected. The latest forecasts for La Nina now indicate that it is likely to last into summer 2022. In addition, the predictions indicate that we may go back for…
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NOAA released their latest ENSO outlook today. It shows that the current La Nina is expected to last through spring and should transition to neutral conditions this summer. Their latest forecast differs somewhat from last month’s in that they have lowered the chances of going into an El Nino later in the year. That means…