El Nino and La Nina
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With Atlantic Ocean temperatures at summer-like conditions already this year in the main development region of the tropics, tropical scientists are very concerned about the likelihood of a very active Atlantic tropical season this year, especially if El Nino decays quickly and is replaced by La Nina. CNN has a good discussion on this here.…
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Even though we are still in a strong El Nino, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center issued a La Nina watch today for the expected swing from our current ENSO phase through neutral to the opposite phase, La Nina, by mid-summer. The speed at which the atmosphere transitions from one phase to another will determine what kinds…
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NOAA released their latest ENSO outlook today. El Nino is firmly entrenched in place and is likely to be near peak strength right now. It is expected to weaken gradually over the next few months and then swing towards the opposite La Nina phase by late summer. If we are in a La Nina then,…
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According to a recent article in Farm Progress, the current very strong El Nino is near its peak intensity as one of the strongest El Ninos on record. There is now a 54% chance water temperatures will reach 3.6F above normal across the key region, according to the U.S. Climate Prediction Center. Those odds were…
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NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center released their latest ENSO discussion today. In it, they discuss the likelihood of El Nino continuing through the winter. By the April through June period they predict that neutral conditions are most likely, and by July through September there is almost an equal chance of neutral and La Nina conditions. Since…
Posted in: El Nino and La Nina -
The strong El Niño is expected to dominate the climate of the Southeast (and the United States as a whole) over the next few months, although it has been slow to start this fall and winter. That means a strong subtropical jet across southern parts of GA and AL and northern FL, bringing rainy weather…
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Anyone who follows how variations in climate and how they affect the weather we observe in any year know that El Nino and La Nina, collectively known as ENSO or El Nino Southern Oscillation, is one of the biggest drivers of yearly climate in the Southeast. For the past three years we have had La…