El Nino and La Nina
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The latest ENSO advisory was released today by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. It shows that ENSO is expected to continue to be in neutral conditions through the summer although the chance of La Nina returning goes up later in the year. El Nino is also possible but much less likely than either neutral or La…
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Today NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center announced that the La Nina which has been present since early January is now over and we are back to neutral conditions. This La Nina was very short-lived and was categorized as a weak La Nina which peaked in early February. It did have some impact on the winter climate…
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The latest ENSO outlook was released today and shows that the current weak La Nina is expected to end soon. Conditions in the Eastern Pacific Ocean will swing back to neutral conditions and are expected to stay there through the end of 2025. This La Nina was late in coming and never got very strong,…
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NOAA released the latest ENSO outlook today. It shows that La Nina is currently present as it has been for the last month, but it is weak and is expected to transition back to ENSO-neutral conditions by the March-May period. Neutral conditions are expected to continue through most of the summer, which may lead to…
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In the week I have received several questions about why this winter, which was predicted to be warmer and drier than usual, has been so cold. Here is a response I wrote to Bob Kemerait, UGA, about this winter’s crazy weather and the lack of warm weather (so far). You might find it helpful too.…
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After a long wait, La Nina was finally declared this week as the ocean temperatures in the Eastern Pacific Ocean finally dropped below the official threshold for a La Nina. As we discussed earlier, it is expected to be a weak one and may only last for a few months before we go back to…
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NOAA released their latest monthly ENSO outlook earlier this week, and it shows almost no change in the likelihood of a La Nina from last month’s prediction. They expect a weak La Nina to occur any time now and to last for a few months before returning to neutral conditions. The sea surface temperatures in…
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