El Nino and La Nina
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NOAA released the latest set of seasonal outlook maps today, although there was no accompanying press release or other publicity generated due to the current government shutdown. The maps for the December through January period show a pattern that is very typical for a La Nina, with warmer and drier than usual conditions occurring along…
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In September, the cooler-than-normal ocean temperatures in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean expanded and La Nina conditions were officially declared in today’s ENSO briefing by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. The La Nina is expected to last through winter, with a transition back to neutral conditions in early spring. The models generally agree that this will…
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The latest ENSO discussion was released today. It shows that we are close to a transition from neutral conditions to a La Nina in the next couple of months. A La Nina is 71 percent likely to be present in the October-December period. That could mean warmer and drier conditions in the southern part of…
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NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center released their latest outlook for ENSO today at https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml. It shows that neutral conditions are likely to continue through most of the next year, with an almost even chance of going back to a La Nina over the late fall and early winter. El Nino has a low probability of occurrence…
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The latest ENSO update, released earlier this week by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, indicates that we are currently in neutral ENSO conditions. This is expected to continue through the end of 2025, although the percentage likelihood of La Nina conditions are nearly as likely late in 2025 and early in 2026. There is a small…
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I’ve seen a lot of stories in the news relating weather and climate to scientific research studies or the Southeast. A few were also on the upcoming hurricane season. Here are some that you might find interesting. Tulane University: Study shows how El Niño and La Niña climate swings threaten mangroves worldwide Meteorological Technology International:…
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The latest ENSO advisory was released today by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. It shows that ENSO is expected to continue to be in neutral conditions through the summer although the chance of La Nina returning goes up later in the year. El Nino is also possible but much less likely than either neutral or La…