Climate outlooks
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In a sharp change from last month’s El Niño outlook, the latest forecast from IRI now shows that they expect the current weak El Niño to end within the next couple of months. Last month’s forecast predicted it would last through most of the summer and perhaps into next fall. If this holds true, it…
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The latest 7-day QPF forecast shows that most of the rain in the eastern US this week is linked to current TS Barry (which could briefly become a hurricane as it makes landfall later today). Subsiding air around Barry’s circulation should keep most of the Southeast dry as it passes to our west. The biggest…
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The Atlantic has been pretty quiet so far this tropical season, but that may be about to change. A low pressure center now located along the border of Georgia and Tennessee is expected to slowly drift south over the eastern Gulf of Mexico in the next few days. The warm water there could lead to…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows that the heaviest rain this week is expected to be in Florida and along the coastal plains of the East Coast, with up to several inches expected in some areas. Since those areas have been the driest of the region, that may reduce the remaining drought in those counties.…
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The latest forecasts for July and beyond came out over the weekend. They show that all of Georgia is expected to be warmer than normal in temperature for the month of July. This trend is expected to continue through fall. Most of the trend is due to the long-term increases in temperature we are seeing…
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The latest 7-day QPF forecast shows that most parts of the Southeast should see only light amounts of rain this week, which should not cause significant changes in the Drought Monitor. The exceptions are southern Florida and eastern North Carolina and Virginia, which could see over an inch. The longer range forecasts show that warmer…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows that most areas of the Southeast will receive an inch or so of rain, with the possibility of showers every day. The heaviest rains are expected in the Florida peninsula and the lightest amounts are expected to be in central Virginia and North Carolina.
Posted in: Climate outlooks