Climate outlooks

  • The latest 7 day QPF map shows that most areas of the Southeast will get about an inch of rain this week, with higher amounts in northern Alabama and the mountainous regions and off the coast, and lighter amounts in southern Florida and along the North Carolina and Virginia coasts. The first rain even will…

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  • The latest preliminary monthly climate outlook for February 2020 was released today. It shows that unlike most of the previous few months, most of the region is now in equal chances of near, below or above normal temperatures. This is a change from the lean towards warmer than normal temperatures we have seen in most…

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  • I have heard from a few of you asking about whether or not we will get any cold weather this winter. Never fear, in spite of recent very warm temperatures, a pattern shift in the next week should bring a lot cooler weather to the region. By early next week we should see some frosty…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows that the main storm track this week will be in the north and west parts of the Southeast, where several inches may fall over the next seven days. Away from the storm track in the Florida peninsula and along the coasts of the other states, little rain should fall.…

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  • The latest weekly ENSO outlook was released by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center today and show that while the sea surface temperatures in the eastern Pacific Ocean are quite warm at the moment, neutral ENSO conditions are expected to continue through Northern Hemisphere winter (70% chance) and spring (65% chance). In neutral conditions there is no…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows that most of the Southeast should see relatively little rain in the next week. The exception is a swath stretching from SW Alabama to the northeast all the way to western NC and VA, which should see more rain, especially late in the week. Warmer and wetter than normal…

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  • The latest monthly climate outlook for January 2020 is now available from the Climate Prediction Center. It shows that all of the Southeast is expected to be warmer than normal, particularly in the southern parts of the region. Most of the region is also leaning towards wetter than normal conditions, due in part to the…

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