Climate outlooks
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The persistent high pressure center is finally moving out of the region, allowing a cold front with associated showers to move in from the northwest. This could bring up to a few inches of rain for most of Alabama and South Carolina, northern Georgia and North Carolina, with lesser amounts in eastern Virginia. Most of…
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Fall returned to parts of the Southeast this morning as a wedge of cooler air moved into the region from the northeast along the east side of the Appalachians. But only light rain is expected from this air along with a cold front early next week for many parts of the region. The wettest region…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest monthly climate outlook for October 2019 was released today. It shows that warmer than normal temperatures and drier than normal rainfall are likely to dominate the weather in October. Remember that this monthly outlook is based primarily on what is likely to happen the first two weeks of the month and is less…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows another very dry week, which continues the streak of dry conditions along with well above normal temperatures. Almost no rain is expected to fall, although there may be some scattered showers in some places and at some times to give some temporary relief. By next weekend, a change in…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks were released by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center earlier this week. They lean towards warmer than normal temperatures for both October and the October-December period across the region. This is based on long-term warming trends along with the neutral ENSO conditions we are currently in. For precipitation, there is a…
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Unless you live in southern Florida, you are unlikely to see any rain at all for at least the next week according to the latest 7-day QPF map. This is bad, because coupled with the well-above-normal temperatures, moisture stress is going to cause problems for ripening crops and will make it hard to start fall…
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The latest Drought Monitor, released this morning, shows that abnormally dry conditions and moderate drought expanded across the region this week. This was expected with little rain and above-normal temperatures that are still in the mid- to upper 90s in many areas. Unfortunately, the next seven days should see almost no rain in the region…