Climate outlooks
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As of 11 pm on August 19, Tropical Depression 13 has formed in the central Atlantic Ocean and is headed WNW towards the US. As a newly developed depression without a strong central circulation yet, there is a lot of uncertainty about where it will go. However, the current predictions are for it to strengthen…
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We are now entering the peak hurricane season, and as expected, the tropics are now rapidly becoming more active. The 5-day Atlantic outlook has two areas that are expected to develop into named storms. The eastern wave has a 90 percent chance of development, and could be named Laura in just a day or two.…
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The latest forecast for La Nina by Columbia University’s IRI group shows that this month neutral conditions just barely edge out La Nina conditions 51 to 49 percent, but for the months after that, La Nina conditions are expected to dominate the probabilities until spring. A La Nina winter usually means warmer and drier conditions…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows that chances of rain continue almost every day for the next week. The driest areas will be in Alabama and Georgia, but even those area will see some occasional showers. Farther east, rain chances will be more frequent and heavy. Late in the week rain amounts are likely to…
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The tenth named storm of 2020, Josephine has formed in the central Atlantic Ocean and is expected to chug along at tropical storm force for the next few days before slowly dying into a tropical depression. The forecast path of Josephine keeps it well offshore so no impacts are expected in the Southeast. You can…
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There is scattered rain in the forecast every day this week, but the total amounts predicted for the week, ranging from less than half an inch along Florida’s East Coast to about 1.5 inches in eastern Virginia, will be barely enough to keep up with water demands from many of the Southeast’s crops. Many crops…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The seasonal hurricane forecasting group at Colorado State University released a revised forecast for the number of tropical storms, hurricanes and major hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin today. It’s not a big surprised that the numbers have gone up considering how active this year has already been. Their new forecast shows us as getting an…