Climate outlooks
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The latest outlook for July 2021, released today, shows that for most of the Southeast, temperatures are leaning towards cooler than normal conditions. The exceptions are the southern half of the Florida Peninsula and the east coast of North Carolina and Virginia. Most of the region is also expected to be wetter than normal in…
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Over the last day, an area of disturbed weather has developed in the Atlantic Ocean near Bermuda and is moving westward towards the US East Coast. It is still pretty weak but has a 50 percent chance of developing over the next five days. Realistically, if it is going to develop, it has about one…
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It’s going to be a very nice week coming up! While we will get more humid as air from the Gulf of Mexico and the Atlantic flows back into the area, temperatures will remain mild with no big heat events coming, unlike the West. We are likely to see some daily afternoon showers and thunderstorms…
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The latest seasonal outlooks were released from NOAA last week. They show that July 2021 is expected to be wetter than normal but there is no signal in temperature except a slight lean toward warmer than normal conditions in the eastern part of the region. The next two weeks are expected to be cooler than…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows a lot of rain for parts of the Southeast, dominated by the heavy rain that will come from TS Claudette (named as of 4 am this morning). Some areas could see up to 5 inches or more, but other areas will get missed. After Claudette moves out, a cold…
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As I discussed yesterday, there appears to be a possible tropical storm brewing in the Bay of Campeche this week. There is nothing organized there now, but computer models suggest that a circulation has an 80% chance of developing into a tropical depression that is expected to head north. If and when that happens, it…
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The 5-day outlook from the National Hurricane Center shows two areas of possible development. One is off the East Coast with a little low along a front that could spin up over the warm Gulf Stream. That would not affect most of the Southeast other than the immediate coast, and it has only a 10…