Climate outlooks
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows that rain will affect most of the Southeast except for the Florida peninsula this week. The heaviest rain will be located in North Carolina, which should help the drought there. For the most part, the rain is associated with a front that is moving back and forth through the…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
Most of the Southeast should experience wet conditions over the weekend as a front moves slowly south through the region. By mid-week, the front should be in Florida and drier air should be in place in most of the rest of the region, making good weather for travel leading up to Christmas. Week 2 from…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest seasonal outlooks for January through March 2022 were released today by NOAA. They show a pattern very similar to what we expect from a weak to moderate La Nina. Since that is the ENSO phase we are in now, that is not too surprising. You can always see these maps at https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/seasonal.php?lead=1 too.…
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Join us for the Southeast Climate Monthly Webinar! These webinars provide the region’s stakeholders and interested parties with timely information on current and developing climate conditions such as drought, floods, and tropical storms, as well as climatic events like El Niño and La Niña. Speakers may also discuss the impacts of these conditions on topics…
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As I write this on Saturday morning, a strong front is moving into the area from the northwest. It will bring most of the rain for this week, with cooler and drier air filtering into the region once the front passes. No rain is expected after the front moves through until late in the week.…
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The latest ENSO discussion was released by NOAA today. It shows that La Nina is still expected to continue through the winter and that it is likely to transition to ENSO-neutral conditions sometime in the spring. You can read the discussion at https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/current/?enso_tab=enso-cpc_update. I will add that it is quite rare for La Nina to…
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After a long dry period with limited rain, it looks like rain will be returning to most of the region by mid-week. The weekend should be relatively dry again, but a shift in the pattern will bring a wet front across the area starting on Monday afternoon and progressing to the east over time. Areas…
Posted in: Climate outlooks