Climate outlooks
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The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks for September through November were released this week and show that both the September and September-November are likely to be wetter than normal along the coasts because of the active tropical season. Temperatures in the fall are also likely to be warmer than normal due to the long-term trend…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
As you may know, there are two tropical depressions currently active in the Atlantic basin and they are both expected to strengthen to named storms and eventually hurricanes as they approach the Gulf of Mexico. TD14, the western depression, is predicted to move NW and cross the Yucutan Peninsula of Mexico before moving into the…
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As of 11 pm on August 19, Tropical Depression 13 has formed in the central Atlantic Ocean and is headed WNW towards the US. As a newly developed depression without a strong central circulation yet, there is a lot of uncertainty about where it will go. However, the current predictions are for it to strengthen…
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We are now entering the peak hurricane season, and as expected, the tropics are now rapidly becoming more active. The 5-day Atlantic outlook has two areas that are expected to develop into named storms. The eastern wave has a 90 percent chance of development, and could be named Laura in just a day or two.…
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The latest forecast for La Nina by Columbia University’s IRI group shows that this month neutral conditions just barely edge out La Nina conditions 51 to 49 percent, but for the months after that, La Nina conditions are expected to dominate the probabilities until spring. A La Nina winter usually means warmer and drier conditions…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows that chances of rain continue almost every day for the next week. The driest areas will be in Alabama and Georgia, but even those area will see some occasional showers. Farther east, rain chances will be more frequent and heavy. Late in the week rain amounts are likely to…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The tenth named storm of 2020, Josephine has formed in the central Atlantic Ocean and is expected to chug along at tropical storm force for the next few days before slowly dying into a tropical depression. The forecast path of Josephine keeps it well offshore so no impacts are expected in the Southeast. You can…