Climate outlooks
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows a lot of rain for parts of the Southeast, dominated by the heavy rain that will come from TS Claudette (named as of 4 am this morning). Some areas could see up to 5 inches or more, but other areas will get missed. After Claudette moves out, a cold…
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As I discussed yesterday, there appears to be a possible tropical storm brewing in the Bay of Campeche this week. There is nothing organized there now, but computer models suggest that a circulation has an 80% chance of developing into a tropical depression that is expected to head north. If and when that happens, it…
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The 5-day outlook from the National Hurricane Center shows two areas of possible development. One is off the East Coast with a little low along a front that could spin up over the warm Gulf Stream. That would not affect most of the Southeast other than the immediate coast, and it has only a 10…
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The 7-day QPF map shows that showers will continue during the week but will be relatively light, with the least rain Tuesday through Thursday. By the end of the week, the models are hinting at some tropical development that could bring heavier rain to the Gulf and areas west of us. There is always a…
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The latest 7-day QPF forecast shows that most of the rain this week is expected to fall in the western half of the region, including Alabama, northern Georgia, and the western, mountainous parts of the Carolinas and Virginia. The best chances for rain throughout the region are over the weekend, with drier conditions gradually occurring…
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The latest monthly climate outlook for June 2021 was released this weekend by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. It shows that there is no strong signal towards warmer or cooler than normal for most of the region in June. But all of the region does show a tilt towards wetter than normal conditions, with the highest…
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The front that moved through the Southeast last night and today will usher in drier conditions for a few days before rain returns to the region. The heaviest rain will be in the eastern Carolinas, which really need it, by mid-week. Week 2 looks like it will be wetter and warmer than usual across most…
Posted in: Climate outlooks