Climate outlooks

  • After a mostly dry week and a few scattered showers today, we should see mostly dry conditions for the next few days before a few more showers occur with another cold frontal passage late in the week. Soil moisture is still mostly quite wet from the rain earlier in the season, so mostly farmers are…

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  • If you like your climate forecasts in podcast form, you will enjoy listening to this podcast from the Alabama Crops Report featuring David Zierden, the Florida State Climatologist. He discusses the current climate situation, the Atlantic tropical season, and La Nina and the outlook for the rest of the year. It’s about 17 minutes long…

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  • (UPDATE: New map as of 10:30 pm) I’ve been getting a few questions about how quiet the tropics are right now and whether we are done with the tropical season for this year. Here is the answer from Bryan Norcross, a television meteorologist from Miami with many years of experience in tropical weather. I follow…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows that after the showers in the eastern parts of the Southeast move out today, we should have a mostly dry week for nearly all of the region. The exception is eastern North and South Carolina, under the influence of a weak disturbance that could briefly become a subtropical storm…

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  • After a very beautiful and dry week, the rain is coming back to the region with a vengeance this week, as frontal rain and a cutoff low bring multiple days of rainto the region. Some areas in northern Georgia could see several inches of rain before the system finally starts moving out to the east…

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  • The latest monthly climate outlook from NOAA’s Climate Prediction was released earlier this week. It shows that all of the Southeast except the southern tip of Florida has an enhanced chance of warmer than normal conditions for October. Rainfall is listed as equal chances of wetter, drier, and normal conditions, which means there is no…

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  • A “cut-off” low is an area of low pressure in the atmosphere separated or cut off from the main atmospheric circulation. That means it does not feel the steering effects of the westerly winds and sits and spins in one spot for several days until something comes to push it out. We get cut-off lows…

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