Climate outlooks
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This is the time of year that winter outlooks are published by many different climatologists, meteorologists, and others (we are not even going to talk about the Farmers’ Almanacs, which are not scientific forecasts). One of the meteorologists I like to follow is Kirk Mellish of WSB in Atlanta. I have found he takes the…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The State Climate Office of North Carolina published their winter outlook for the upcoming winter in their blog today. It discusses the impact of the double-dip La Nina that is occurring, the current dry conditions there, and the likelihood of snow. A lot of the discussion is generally relevant to the rest of the Southeast…
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The 7-day QPF map shows that rain should persist along the East Coast for the next day or two from the low that is moving along the coast today. By Tuesday night it should be dry across the region and a bit warmer. That will continue until later on Thursday when the next front begins…
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With October almost in the books, a quick look shows that it was warmer than normal across the region, especially overnight lows. Precipitation varied, with the western areas generally wetter and the eastern areas generally drier. Forecasts for the first two weeks of November show conditions are likely to be cooler and drier than normal,…
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The latest 7-day QPF shows almost no rain for the next five days with just a little light rain late in the week. A weak front should come through then, bringing some light rain to the area. Early November should also be quite dry. The long-range models are not showing much chance of frost in…
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Due to computer maintenance I was not able to post yesterday. The 7-day QPF map for this week shows moderate rains of around an inch are expected to fall. Most of it will occur on Wednesday and Thursday, with lesser amounts Sunday through Tuesday and next weekend. Some areas are getting a little dry, so…
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The latest 3-month outlook for November 2021 through January 2022 was released by NOAA today. It shows that they expect the climate pattern over the winter to be aligned with the building La Nina, which was officially declared earlier this month. In a typical La Nina, the southern US is warmer and drier than usual…
Posted in: Climate outlooks