Climate outlooks
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Do you ever wonder where the winter forecasts for the United States come from and how they determine what the likely conditions are going to be? The Europeans do similar forecasts for their own winter, and this long and detailed article from Severe Weather Europe provides a lot of information into how the forecasts are…
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The latest seasonal climate outlook was released late last week by NOAA. It shows that in spite of the current cold conditions, temperature and precipitation patterns in the winter period from December through February are expected to be aligned with what we think of as typical La Nina patterns. That means warmer than normal temperatures…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows that there are two weather systems passing through the Southeast this week. The first one will bring some rain to parts of the region starting on Sunday night. By Tuesday, dry and cold weather will return to the area. The next low pressure area starts to move through the…
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UPDATE: The latest forecast shows that the chance of a big Thankgiving storm has largely gone away, leaving fairly tranquil weather across most of the country. Good news! If you are traveling for Thanksgiving, especially to the Midwest or Northeast, you might want to watch the weather forecasts carefully. While it is still too early…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows dry conditions across the region except for Florida through the week. Light rain may occur late in the week into the weekend with the next front to move through the area. Cooler conditions will really make it feel like fall. Frost is likely across a lot of the northern…
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This is the time of year that winter outlooks are published by many different climatologists, meteorologists, and others (we are not even going to talk about the Farmers’ Almanacs, which are not scientific forecasts). One of the meteorologists I like to follow is Kirk Mellish of WSB in Atlanta. I have found he takes the…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The State Climate Office of North Carolina published their winter outlook for the upcoming winter in their blog today. It discusses the impact of the double-dip La Nina that is occurring, the current dry conditions there, and the likelihood of snow. A lot of the discussion is generally relevant to the rest of the Southeast…