Climate outlooks
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The focus of stormy weather this week will be in the central US, which certainly needs the rain, although perhaps not the tornadoes and hail they are seeing this weekend. In the Southeast, we should see relatively light and scattered amounts of rain this week, with the highest amounts in southern Florida and in eastern…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows that rain amounts this week should be quite light. Most of the rain will fall as a cold front passes through the region starting on Monday night and exiting on Wednesday. However, the total rain will be less than 1/2 inch except for a few spots in northern Alabama…
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The latest outlook maps for May 2022 and May through July 2022 were released today by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. They show that for May, the southern part of our region is the most likely to be warmer than normal, while much of the region could be wetter than normal. For the early summer months…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows that the wettest conditions are likely to occur in middle Alabama and Georgia and the driest conditions in the Florida Peninsula and in North Carolina and Virginia. Most of the rain will occur over the next three days and it will be followed by nearly dry conditions for the…
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NOAA released their latest ENSO outlook today. It shows considerable uncertainty in whether the La Nina will go away and conditions will return to neutral or if La Nina will continue, with variation between different computer models. The overall outlook is for a slight edge towards the continuation of La Nina conditions over the summer,…
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After yesterday’s cold front, cool and dry air has covered most of the Southeast, leading to little chance of rain for the next few days. By mid-week the next storm system will start to bring warmer and moister air back into the region, leading to an increased chance of rain in Alabama. There could also…
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I’ve gotten a number of emails and phone calls asking about frost and freeze conditions for this weekend. I think it is likely that many of the northern counties in Georgia are going to see temperatures of 32 F or lower on Saturday and Sunday morning based on current forecast models. The freezing temperatures may…
Posted in: Climate outlooks