Climate outlooks
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NOAA released their latest ENSO outlook today. It shows considerable uncertainty in whether the La Nina will go away and conditions will return to neutral or if La Nina will continue, with variation between different computer models. The overall outlook is for a slight edge towards the continuation of La Nina conditions over the summer,…
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After yesterday’s cold front, cool and dry air has covered most of the Southeast, leading to little chance of rain for the next few days. By mid-week the next storm system will start to bring warmer and moister air back into the region, leading to an increased chance of rain in Alabama. There could also…
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I’ve gotten a number of emails and phone calls asking about frost and freeze conditions for this weekend. I think it is likely that many of the northern counties in Georgia are going to see temperatures of 32 F or lower on Saturday and Sunday morning based on current forecast models. The freezing temperatures may…
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The first official outlook for the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season was released today by the folks at Colorado State University. It shows that due to the continued presence of La Nina and the expectation that it will return to neutral by summer but not switch to El Nino, another active hurricane season is expected for…
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Note that this was originally published in the Georgia peanut and cotton newsletters. April is expected to be warmer and drier than usual across most of the Southeast in 2022. This continues the pattern seen in the past few months that was caused by a combination of the current La Niña and the trend towards…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows that heavy rain can be expected in most of Alabama as well as northern Georgia by mid-week this week as another strong storm system moves through the area. Severe weather is likely again ahead of the system, and it may be shifted farther east than the last two rounds,…
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The final outlook for April 2022 was published today. It shows that the temperature outlook for most of the region continues to lean towards warmer than normal temperatures for the next month. The precipitation outlook has most of the region in equal chances of near, above, or below normal precipitation except for the Appalachians, which…
Posted in: Climate outlooks