Climate outlooks

  • The low pressure area that is developing in Texas has a big rain shield ahead of it. That should move into the Southeast later this weekend, bringing rain to a lot of the region other than the Florida peninsula and the Southeast coast. That should help keep drought from expanding in next week’s Drought Monitor…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows that nearly all of the region will receive less than 1/2 inch of precipitation this week. The highest amounts will be in the Appalachians and the Florida peninsula. There will be a storm developing off the East Coast by mid-week, but most of the rain from that storm will…

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  • The State Climate Office of North Carolina has posted their latest seasonal update on their blog. It contains some additional analysis that I did not put in my blog post yesterday that you might find helpful. Even though it is geared for North Carolina, a lot of the information is generally correct for the Southeast…

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  • The December through February winter climate outlook was released by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center today. It shows a pattern that we typically see in La Nina winters, with warmer and drier than normal conditions expected across large parts of the Southeast. This is likely to lead to an expansion of drought over the winter, although…

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  • Now that Nicole has moved out of the Southeast, most of the region will be relatively dry this week. The wettest part is likely to be Alabama and the Southern Appalachians, which will experience rain from the next precipitation-producing system that is brewing in the western Gulf. Southern Florida and most areas that received rain…

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  • Even though the tropics have been quiet for the last few weeks, that looks like it may be about to change. An area of low pressure (currently called Investigation 98) east of the Bahamas is looking as though it may develop into a named storm (90% chance in the next 5 days) as it moves…

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  • Meteorologists are watching the Atlantic this week as an area of low pressure is expected to form north of Hispaniola and move northwestward towards the East Coast of the United States. Whether or not it develops into a named storm, it will bring rain, gusty winds, and flooding sea levels to the East Coast by…

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