Climate outlooks
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NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center announced today that the La Niña that has been holding on in the eastern Pacific Ocean has finally ended and that we are back in neutral conditions. You can read the final advisory at https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml. The forecast for ENSO is for neutral conditions to continue for the next few months before…
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The latest 7-day QPF forecast shows that with the passage of the line of storms yesterday, quieter and drier weather should return to the region for the next few days, although the line remains in northern Florida where it is dropping some showers today. The rest of the region should be dry through the rest…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest monthly outlook from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center shows that the impacts of the fading La Nina can still be seen in the trend towards warmer conditions than normal, especially in the southern part of the region. The outlook for precipitation shows no tendency one way or the other. With the warmer conditions expected,…
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Update: Slides and video now available at https://www.drought.gov/webinars/southeast-climate-monthly-webinar-february-28-2023. Join us for the Southeast Climate Monthly Webinar! These webinars provide the region with timely information on current and developing climate conditions such as drought, floods, and tropical storms, as well as climatic events like El Niño and La Niña. Speakers may also discuss the impacts of…
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The precipitation pattern this week looks a lot like last week’s, with the heaviest rain in the northern part of the region and little to none in the Florida Peninsula. Week 2 looks a lot like this week, so there are no big changes expected on the short term. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center does start…
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The stratosphere over the North Pole is showing signs of a developing Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW), but there is no indication at this time of what impacts it might have, especially in the Southeast. Usually impacts from an SSW occur several weeks after the onset of its development in the stratosphere, but the strength and…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows that most of the region should not get any rain this week as we are under high pressure and the focus of activity is to our north in the Ohio River Valley. Some areas in the Southern Appalachians and northern GA and AL may see a few showers but…
Posted in: Climate outlooks